The invention discloses a spacecraft collision early warning method based on space target data and a storage medium, and relates to the technical field of spacecraft collision protection, and the method comprises the steps: predicting a collision probability, a collision speed and a collision position based on a model of a long-short term memory (LSTM) network, adding a label for training data, representing whether a collision event occurs or not, and carrying out the early warning of the collision of the spacecraft. A deep learning model of spacecraft collision is established by using a long-short term memory (LSTM) network, historical trajectory data and collision object information are used as input, the relationship between the trajectory of the spacecraft and the collision occurrence probability, speed and position is learned through a loss function defined by minimization, highly accurate prediction of a potential collision event is realized, and the prediction accuracy is improved. And then, based on the prediction of the collision probability, speed and position, carrying out collision risk level evaluation, estimating the joint distribution of the collision probability, speed and position and the correlation among parameters by adopting a Bayesian statistical method, and analyzing an estimated value to calculate the collision risk level.

    本发明公开了基于太空目标数据的航天器碰撞预警方法及存储介质,涉及航天器碰撞防护技术领域,本发明基于长短时记忆网络LSTM的模型,对碰撞概率、碰撞速度和碰撞位置进行预测,同时为训练数据添加标签,表示是否发生碰撞事件,使用长短时记忆网络LSTM建立航天器碰撞的深度学习模型,将历史轨迹数据和碰撞物体信息作为输入,通过最小化定义的损失函数学习航天器轨迹与碰撞发生概率、速度和位置之间的关系,实现对潜在碰撞事件的高度准确预测,然后基于碰撞概率、速度和位置的预测,进行碰撞风险等级评估,采用贝叶斯统计方法估计碰撞概率、速度和位置的联合分布,以及参数之间的相关性,通过估计值分析,计算出碰撞的风险等级。


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    Title :

    Spacecraft collision early warning method based on space target data and storage medium


    Additional title:

    基于太空目标数据的航天器碰撞预警方法及存储介质


    Contributors:
    WANG SHUO (author) / KANG RUIQING (author) / LI XIAOBO (author) / LI DA (author) / KANG ZHIBANG (author) / WANG YIYI (author) / LI BAILU (author)

    Publication date :

    2023-12-15


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    B64G Raumfahrt , COSMONAUTICS / G01C Messen von Entfernungen, Höhen, Neigungen oder Richtungen , MEASURING DISTANCES, LEVELS OR BEARINGS / G01S RADIO DIRECTION-FINDING , Funkpeilung / G06N COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS , Rechnersysteme, basierend auf spezifischen Rechenmodellen



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