This paper discusses the effect of global model error on probability of collision (Pc) determination. Modifications to the Pc formulation for cross-correlation of orbital error in prediction are developed and assessed for recent conjunctions. While specific geometries can be identified or constructed to produce significant change in Pc for the modified formulation, it is of operational interest to quanti- fy the relative occurrence of such cases for satellite conjunction risk assessment. Large-scale analysis is feasible per data collections in place over the past year.


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    Title :

    Effect of Cross-Correlation of Orbital Error on Probability of Collision Determination


    Contributors:
    Steve Casali (author) / Doyle Hall (author) / Daniel Snow (author) / Matt Hejduk (author) / Lauren Johnson (author) / Brent Skrehart (author) / Luis Baars (author)

    Conference:

    2018 AAS/AIAA Astrodynamics Specialist Conference ; 2022 ; Snowbird, UT, US


    Type of media :

    Conference paper


    Type of material :

    No indication


    Language :

    English




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