To provide an operation prediction device capable of highly accurately predicting a delay time of a train which is expected to occur in the future.SOLUTION: An operation prediction device 40 includes a delay type prediction unit 44 for determining a delay type which is expected to occur in the future in a train 10 by using operation data acquired from the train 10 and a first prediction model outputting a prediction result of a delay type, which is expected to occur in the future in the train 10 outputting the operation data and a delay time prediction unit 45 for outputting a delay time which is expected to occur in the future in the train 10 by using the operation data, a second prediction model generated for each delay type, to output the prediction result of the delay time which is expected to occur in the future in the train 10 outputting the operation data, and the delay type determined by the delay type prediction unit 44.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1

    【課題】将来発生する列車の遅延時間を高精度に予測することが可能な運行予測装置を得ること。【解決手段】運行予測装置40は、列車10から取得した運行データと、運行データを出力した列車10で将来発生する遅延の種別である遅延種別の予測結果を出力する第1の予測モデルと、を用いて、列車10で将来発生する遅延種別を判定する遅延種別予測部44と、運行データと、運行データを出力した列車10で将来発生する遅延時間の予測結果を出力する、遅延種別ごとに生成された第2の予測モデルと、遅延種別予測部44で判定された遅延種別と、を用いて、列車10で将来発生する遅延時間を出力する遅延時間予測部45と、を備える。【選択図】図1


    Access

    Download


    Export, share and cite



    Title :

    OPERATION PREDICTION DEVICE, OPERATION MANAGEMENT DEVICE, OPERATION MANAGEMENT SYSTEM, INFERENCE DEVICE, OPERATION PREDICTION METHOD, AND OPERATION PREDICTION PROGRAM


    Additional title:

    運行予測装置、運行管理装置、運行管理システム、推論装置、運行予測方法および運行予測プログラム


    Contributors:

    Publication date :

    2023-11-02


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Japanese


    Classification :

    IPC:    B61L Leiten des Eisenbahnverkehrs , GUIDING RAILWAY TRAFFIC




    OPERATION PREDICTION DEVICE, OPERATION PREDICTION METHOD, AND OPERATION PREDICTION COMPUTER PROGRAM

    KAWANISHI REI / SAKAI KATSUHIRO / SUGAIWA TAISUKE et al. | European Patent Office | 2024

    Free access


    OPERATION PREDICTION METHOD AND OPERATION PREDICTION DEVICE

    NANRI TAKUYA / ATAKA YUKI / ABDELAZIZ KHIAT | European Patent Office | 2019

    Free access

    OPERATION MANAGEMENT SYSTEM, OPERATION MANAGEMENT DEVICE, OPERATION MANAGEMENT METHOD, AND PROGRAM

    SUDOU AKIHISA / KAWASAKI DAISUKE / YAMANE KAORI | European Patent Office | 2024

    Free access