To enable prediction of a traffic demand even in a region where traffic data containing movement results necessary for traffic demand prediction is hard to obtain.SOLUTION: A traffic demand prediction device in accordance with an embodiment of the present invention includes: a model memory unit that stores a basic model for use in predicting a traffic demand for each section; a prediction condition acquisition unit that acquires prediction conditions including at least a prediction object section and a moving route in the prediction object section; a prediction model selection unit that has a feature of selecting a basic model, which meets the prediction object conditions, from the model memory unit, and that, when no basic model meeting the prediction conditions is obtained in the prediction object section, selects the basic model in a section different from the prediction object section as a prediction model for the prediction object section; and a traffic demand calculation unit that calculates a traffic demand, which complies with the prediction conditions using the selected prediction model.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1
【課題】交通需要予測に必要な移動実績を含む交通データが取得困難な地域でも、交通需要の予測を可能にする。【解決手段】本発明の一態様の交通需要予測装置は、区間ごとに交通需要の予測に使用される基本モデルを記憶するモデル記憶部と、少なくとも予測対象区間と当該予測対象区間内の移動経路とを含む予測条件を取得する予測条件取得部と、モデル記憶部から予測条件に該当する基本モデルを選択する機能を有し、予測対象区間に該当する基本モデルが得られなかった場合に、予測対象区間とは異なる区間の基本モデルを予測対象区間の予測モデルとして選択する予測モデル選択部と、選択された予測モデルを用いて予測条件に応じた交通需要を計算する交通需要算出部と、を備える。【選択図】図1
TRAFFIC DEMAND PREDICTION DEVICE AND TRAFFIC DEMAND PREDICTION SYSTEM
交通需要予測装置及び交通需要予測システム
2020-08-31
Patent
Electronic Resource
Japanese
IPC: | G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES |
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