The invention discloses an electric vehicle charging load prediction method and device, equipment and a storage medium. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring charging moment data and charging moment residual electric quantity data of different types of electric vehicles in different urban areas; respectively processing the data based on different probability distribution functions to obtain processing results; judging a processing result, and determining an optimal probability distribution function; based on the optimal probability distribution function, processing the input urban area and the type of the electric vehicle to obtain charging moment prediction data and charging moment residual electric quantity prediction data; establishing a prediction time period charging probability distribution function group based on the charging moment prediction data, the charging moment residual electric quantity prediction data and the obtained charging pile online condition; predicting a charging load based on the prediction period charging probability distribution function group and the prediction period charging power; the present invention facilitates reducing the degree of distortion of a predicted charging load of an electric vehicle compared to an actual charging load.

    一种电动汽车充电负荷预测方法、装置、设备及存储介质;方法包括:获取不同城市区域中不同类型电动汽车的充电时刻数据与充电时刻剩余电量数据;基于不同概率分布函数分别处理数据,得到处理结果;对处理结果进行判断,确定出最佳概率分布函数;基于最佳概率分布函数处理输入的城市区域与电动汽车的类型,得到充电时刻预测数据与充电时刻剩余电量预测数据;基于充电时刻预测数据、充电时刻剩余电量预测数据以及获取的充电桩在线情况,建立预测时段充电概率分布函数组;基于预测时段充电概率分布函数组与预测时段充电功率,预测充电负荷;本发明便于降低预测出的电动车辆的充电负荷与实际充电负荷相比的失真程度。


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    Title :

    Electric vehicle charging load prediction method and device, equipment and storage medium


    Additional title:

    电动汽车充电负荷预测方法、装置、设备及存储介质


    Contributors:
    WANG YIBIN (author) / QIAN HAO (author) / ZHAO YUE (author)

    Publication date :

    2024-11-22


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES / B60L PROPULSION OF ELECTRICALLY-PROPELLED VEHICLES , Antrieb von elektrisch angetriebenen Fahrzeugen / G06N COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS , Rechnersysteme, basierend auf spezifischen Rechenmodellen / H02J CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER , Schaltungsanordnungen oder Systeme für die Abgabe oder Verteilung elektrischer Leistung



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