To reduce a calculation amount required to predict a passenger's connection route by minimizing an operation amount related to analysis of a train schedule before and after train reduction.SOLUTION: A passenger behavior prediction device 1 generates a reduced train schedule obtained by suspending a given reduction target train from a prescribed reference schedule, and calculates a connection route at train reduction of each passenger to the reduced train schedule so as to satisfy a given connection condition on the basis of a reference connection route previously set to a reference schedule to reach a destination station from a departure station of each passenger. The calculation of a route at train reduction is performed by determining whether or not the reduction target train is included in the reference connection route of a corresponding passenger for each passenger, making the reference connection route of the passenger a connection route at train reduction in the case of being negative, and calculating a route of satisfying a connection route on which the passenger can move from a departure station to a destination station according to the reduced train schedule as a connection route at train reduction of the passenger in the case of being positive.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1

    【課題】減便前後の列車ダイヤの分析に係る演算量をできるだけ抑えて旅客の乗継経路の予測に要する演算量の軽減を図ること。【解決手段】旅客行動予測装置1は、所定の基準ダイヤから所与の減便対象列車を運休させた減便ダイヤを生成し、基準ダイヤに対して予め設定された各旅客の出発駅から目的駅に至る基本乗継経路に基づいて、減便ダイヤに対する各旅客の減便時乗継経路を所与の乗継条件を満たすように算出する。減便時経路の算出は、旅客毎に、当該旅客の基本乗継経路に減便対象列車が含まれているか否かを判定し、否定判定の場合に、当該旅客の基本乗継経路を当該旅客の減便時乗継経路とし、肯定判定の場合に、減便ダイヤに従って当該旅客が出発駅から目的駅に移動可能な乗継条件を満たす経路を当該旅客の減便時乗継経路を算出することとで行う。【選択図】図1


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    Title :

    PASSENGER BEHAVIOR PREDICTION DEVICE, REDUCED TRAIN SCHEDULE EVALUATION SUPPORT SYSTEM AND PASSENGER BEHAVIOR PREDICTION METHOD


    Additional title:

    旅客行動予測装置、減便ダイヤ評価支援システム及び旅客行動予測方法


    Contributors:
    TAKADA MAYU (author) / TAKEUCHI YOKO (author)

    Publication date :

    2024-01-23


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Japanese


    Classification :

    IPC:    B61L Leiten des Eisenbahnverkehrs , GUIDING RAILWAY TRAFFIC



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