To provide a method by which a dynamic time table to be disclosed in response to an actual situation is generated, and thereby providing a service with an adequate quality, free from a misguide, even if an operation state is unstable and arrival and departure times cannot be surely predicted.SOLUTION: A time table management system 10 comprises: a prediction time table generating unit 101 for generating a prediction time table predicting an arrival times at each location points and departing times from each location point for each vehicle based on up-to-date dynamic operation data; a dynamic time table generation unit 103 for calculating a prediction error indicating an assurance of a predicted value of the predicted time table, to determine whether the predict value can be disclosed or not by comparison of the prediction error and disclosed threshold value and to generate a dynamic time table disclosed to the users based on a predicted value determined to be disclosed; and a distributing unit 105 for distributing the dynamic time table to an external system.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1

    【課題】運行状況が不安定で着発予定時刻を確実に予測できない場合でも、その状況に応じて開示可能な動的時刻表を生成することで、誤案内のない適度な品質を保ったサービス提供を可能とする。【解決手段】時刻表管理システム10は、最新の動的運行データに基づき各車両における各地点への到着時刻あるいは各地点からの出発時刻を予測した予測時刻表を生成する予測時刻表生成部101と、前記予測時刻表の予測値の確からしさを表す予測誤差を算出し、前記予測誤差と開示閾値の比較によって前記予測値の開示可否を判定して、開示可能であると判定された予測値に基づいてユーザに開示する動的時刻表を生成する動的時刻表生成部103と、前記動的時刻表を外部システムに配信する配信部105とを有する。【選択図】図1


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    Title :

    DIAGRAM INFORMATION MANAGEMENT SYSTEM, DIAGRAM INFORMATION MANAGEMENT METHOD AND OPERATION GUIDANCE SYSTEM


    Additional title:

    ダイヤ情報管理システム、ダイヤ情報管理方法および運行案内システム


    Contributors:

    Publication date :

    2022-02-10


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Japanese


    Classification :

    IPC:    B61L Leiten des Eisenbahnverkehrs , GUIDING RAILWAY TRAFFIC / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES



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