PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a power demand prediction apparatus capable of performing more accurate power demand prediction on the basis of limited actual data.SOLUTION: A power demand prediction apparatus 100 comprises: an area feature value prediction unit 114 that receives actual data on a vehicle as input and predicts, for each block area of a plurality of block areas, an area feature value showing a feature of a vehicle belonging to the block area; an individual model acquisition unit 112 for acquiring an individual model for each specific vehicle that receives an area feature value as input and outputs power demand for the specific vehicle in a specific charging facility; and a demand prediction calculation unit 113 for inputting a predicted area feature value to the individual model to calculate a prediction value of power demand for a specific vehicle corresponding to the individual model in the specific charging facility.
【課題】限られた実績データに基づいて、より精度の高い電力の需要予測が可能な電力需要予測装置を提供する。【解決手段】電力需要予測装置100は、車両に関する実測データを入力し、複数に区画された各区画エリアの、当該区画エリア内に属する車両に関する特徴を示すエリア特徴値を予測するエリア特徴値予測部114と、エリア特徴値を入力とし、特定の車両の、特定の充電設備における電力需要を出力とする、当該特定の車両各々の個別モデルを取得する個別モデル取得部112と、予測されたエリア特徴値を個別モデルに入力し、当該個別モデルに対応する特定の車両の、特定の充電設備における電力需要の予測値を算出する需要予測演算部113と、を備える。【選択図】図2
POWER DEMAND PREDICTION APPARATUS, POWER SUPPLY SYSTEM, POWER DEMAND PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM
電力需要予測装置、電力供給システム、電力需要予測方法及びプログラム
2015-09-07
Patent
Electronic Resource
Japanese
IPC: | H02J CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER , Schaltungsanordnungen oder Systeme für die Abgabe oder Verteilung elektrischer Leistung / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES / G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS / H01M Verfahren oder Mittel, z.B. Batterien, für die direkte Umwandlung von chemischer in elektrische Energie , PROCESSES OR MEANS, e.g. BATTERIES, FOR THE DIRECT CONVERSION OF CHEMICAL ENERGY INTO ELECTRICAL ENERGY |
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