PROBLEM TO BE SOLVED: To provide a power demand prediction apparatus capable of performing more accurate power demand prediction on the basis of limited actual data.SOLUTION: A power demand prediction apparatus 100 comprises: a data acceptance unit 101 for accepting input of vehicle probe data in which a specific running state is recorded; an individual model generation unit 112 for generating, on the basis of the accepted vehicle probe data, an individual model showing correlation between an actual value of factor information to be a factor for decision making to charge a specific vehicle in a specific charging facility and an actual value showing power demand for the specific vehicle in the specific facility, by specific vehicle or by user of the specific vehicle; and a demand prediction calculation unit 113 for calculating a prediction value of power demand for the specific vehicle in the specific charging facility on the basis of the generated individual model.
【課題】限られた実績データに基づいて、より精度の高い電力の需要予測が可能な電力需要予測装置を提供する。【解決手段】電力需要予測装置100は、特定の走行状態を記録した車両プローブデータの入力を受け付けるデータ受付部101と、受け付けた車両プローブデータに基づいて、特定の車両が特定の充電設備において充電を行う意思決定の要因となる因子情報の実績値と、当該特定の車両の、特定の充電設備における電力需要を示す実績値と、の相関関係を示す個別モデルを、特定の車両別、または、当該特定の車両の利用者別に生成する個別モデル生成部112と、当該生成した個別モデルに基づいて、特定の車両の、特定の充電設備における電力需要の予測値を算出する需要予測演算部113と、を備えている。【選択図】図2
POWER DEMAND PREDICTION APPARATUS, POWER SUPPLY SYSTEM, POWER DEMAND PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM
電力需要予測装置、電力供給システム、電力需要予測方法及びプログラム
2015-09-07
Patent
Electronic Resource
Japanese
POWER DEMAND PREDICTION APPARATUS, POWER SUPPLY SYSTEM, POWER DEMAND PREDICTION METHOD, AND PROGRAM
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