The invention discloses a public transport passenger flow prediction method, which comprises the following steps: on the basis of taking individual travel data and public transport vehicle operation data as input, constructing an individual travel decision model, then establishing a travel individual agent motion rule, and establishing a public transport vehicle agent motion rule and an interaction rule between the travel individual agent motion rule and the public transport vehicle agent motion rule; by inputting the actual characteristic information of the two intelligent agents and the environment and simulating the actual state based on the information according to the preset motion rule and interaction rule, the required passenger flow data is output, the passenger flow prediction is completed, the actual travel behavior of a bus travel individual can be well simulated, and the passenger flow prediction efficiency is improved. The method can effectively reflect the operation condition of an urban public transport system, and plays an important role in accurately describing passenger travel behaviors, exploring passenger flow change rules and analyzing passenger flow distribution characteristics.

    本发明公开了一种公交客流预测方法,包括基于个体出行数据及公交车辆运营数据作为输入,构建个体出行决策模型,再建立出行个体智能体运动规则,建立公交车辆智能体运动规则和两者间的交互规则;通过输入两种智能体和环境的实际特征信息,并以这些信息为基础按照预先设定的运动规则和交互规则模拟实际状态,从而输出所需要的客流数据,完成客流预测,可以很好地模拟公交出行个体的实际出行行为,能够有效反映城市公共交通系统的运行状况,在准确描述乘客出行行为、探索客流变化规律、分析客流分布特征方面具有重要作用。


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    Title :

    Bus passenger flow prediction method


    Additional title:

    一种公交客流预测方法


    Contributors:
    GONG XIAOLIN (author) / CHEN XIAN (author) / SUN SONGSONG (author)

    Publication date :

    2023-06-23


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES / G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS



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