The invention discloses a bus travel time prediction method considering a traffic flow transfer rate based on RFID. According to the invention, the influence of the traffic flow transfer rate on the bus travel time is considered, a Kalman filtering prediction model with a self-adaptive forgetting factor is constructed, real-time and accurate bus travel time prediction can be realized, the defects(such as the influence of weather on a prediction result and the neglect of the influence of traffic flow transfer on travel time) of a traditional prediction method at present are avoided, and the method plays a crucial role in ensuring that a public transportation system can operate efficiently.

    本发明公开了一种基于RFID考虑交通流转移率的公交行程时间预测方法,本发明考虑了交通流转利率对公交车行程时间的影响,构建带有自适应遗忘因子的卡尔曼滤波预测模型,可以实现实时准确的公交车行程时间预测,避免了目前传统的预测方法的缺陷(如预测结果受天气影响、忽略交通流转移对行程时间的影响),对保证公共交通运输系统能高效运行起着至关重要的作用。


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    Title :

    Bus travel time prediction method considering traffic flow transfer rate based on RFID


    Additional title:

    一种基于RFID考虑交通流转移率的公交行程时间预测方法


    Contributors:
    SUN DIHUA (author) / ZHAO MIN (author) / ZHOU TONG (author) / LIU ZHIZONG (author)

    Publication date :

    2020-09-29


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS / G06K Erkennen von Daten , RECOGNITION OF DATA / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES



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