To obtain an operation prediction device capable of predicting an operation state of a train in the future with high accuracy.SOLUTION: An operation prediction device 20 includes: a data acquisition part 251 for acquiring, from a train 10, prediction object data including operation data showing an operation state of the train 10 and human flow data showing a state of human flow of users using the train 10; and a prediction part for predicting at least one of an operation state and a state of human flow in the future from the prediction object data by using a prediction model which has learned similarity data similar to recent data in past data and the recent data, in which data for learning including the operation data and the human flow data is divided into the past data and the recent data acquired later than the past data. The similarity data is data determined to be similar to the recent data in the past data by using a similarity determination model which has learned the past data and the recent data.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 1

    【課題】将来における列車の運行状況を高精度に予測可能とする運行予測装置を得ること。【解決手段】運行予測装置20は、列車10の運行状況を示す運行データと列車10を利用する利用者の人流の状況を示す人流データとを含む予測対象データを、列車10から取得するデータ取得部251と、運行データおよび人流データを含む学習用データが過去データと過去データよりも後に取得された直近データとに分けられ、過去データのうち直近データに類似する類似データと直近データとを学習させた予測モデルを用いて、予測対象データから、将来における運行状況および人流の状況の少なくとも一方を予測する予測部と、を備える。類似データは、過去データおよび直近データを学習させた類似判定モデルを用いて、過去データのうち、直近データに類似すると判定されたデータである。【選択図】図1


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    Titel :

    OPERATION PREDICTION DEVICE, OPERATION MANAGEMENT DEVICE, OPERATION MANAGEMENT SYSTEM, LEARNING DEVICE, OPERATION PREDICTION METHOD, LEARNING METHOD, OPERATION PREDICTION PROGRAM, AND LEARNING PROGRAM


    Weitere Titelangaben:

    運行予測装置、運行管理装置、運行管理システム、学習装置、運行予測方法、学習方法、運行予測プログラム、および学習プログラム


    Beteiligte:
    SHIMAYOSHI SHOTA (Autor:in) / UEDA KENJI (Autor:in) / TATEISHI DAISUKE (Autor:in) / TOKO YOSHITAKA (Autor:in) / SUGAWARA KOSUKE (Autor:in) / HASHIMOTO RYOTA (Autor:in)

    Erscheinungsdatum :

    10.06.2024


    Medientyp :

    Patent


    Format :

    Elektronische Ressource


    Sprache :

    Japanisch


    Klassifikation :

    IPC:    B61L Leiten des Eisenbahnverkehrs , GUIDING RAILWAY TRAFFIC




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