The chapter describes a system dynamics modeling approach simulating the prospective decision process of purchasers of cars for one of the competing fuel technologies in European Union. The approach was applied in the context of the EU FP7 project GHG‐TransPoRD in order to determine feasible greenhouse gas reduction targets for each transport mode for the EU until 2050. The model takes into account the dynamics of the major constraints for a fast diffusion of alternative fuel technologies. The vehicle fleet model is implemented as a module in the Assessment of Transport Strategies (ASTRA) model. ASTRA is an integrated system dynamics model simulating the feedbacks between transport, economy and environment. The chapter highlights the structure of the ASTRA model in which the vehicle fleet model is embedded. It presents the dynamics of the vehicle fleet model, its major causal chains and feedbacks.
Measures to Promote the Diffusion of Alternative Fuel Vehicles in EU27
Energy and Environment ; 155-171
2016-05-27
17 pages
Article/Chapter (Book)
Electronic Resource
English
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