A probabilistic approach to the a-priori modelling of air-accident development, based on the analysis of risk factors and factors resulting in preventing the air accidents was presented. Methods for the assessment of air-accident risk are an indispensible component of the pro-active strategy for the safety-oriented management. The presented method is a component of the pro-active strategy for preventing air accidents. It consists of the development of undertakings to prevent (reduce probability) of an air accident by the elimination of (or reduction in) the probability of occuring the risk factors, competent assessment of the effectiveness of the planned undertakings (cost effectiveness-probability rate) and the selection of optimum ways for controlling (managing) the forecasted air-accident risk. Implementation of the pro-active strategy for safety management gives a chance to reduce accident risk by initiating indispensable corrective, preventive and improving actions to minimize the hazards.
Logiczno-probabilistyczna analiza czynnikow ryzyka wypadkow lotniczych
A probabilistic method for the a priori assessment of air accident risk
Problemy Eksploatacji ; 4 ; 95-103
2009
9 Seiten, 1 Bild, 4 Quellen
Article (Journal)
Polish
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