Hydrogen has emerged as a possible transportation fuel for addressing long-term, sustainable energy supply, security, and environmental problems. Yet, there are a number of barriers that need to be overcome if hydrogen vehicles are ever to penetrate transportation markets, not the least of which is the development of a vehicle-infrastructure system. Hydrogen vehicles and refueling infrastructure are complementary goods and must both successfully penetrate transportation markets for either to be successful. This paper describes a system dynamics model created to investigate the vehicle-infrastructure phenomenon currently inhibiting the growth of hydrogen transportation systems. Four scenarios explore the phenomenon through analysis of vehicle adoption, infrastructure development rates, and hydrogen market conditions. We conclude that a coordinated policy approach that simultaneously encourages both the purchase of hydrogen vehicles and the building of hydrogen infrastructure is the most effective approach for rapid vehicle-infrastructure adoption.
Modeling technology diffusion of complementary goods: The case of hydrogen vehicles and refueling infrastructure
Modell der Technologie-Diffusion einander ergänzender Güter: Wasserstoff-Fahrzeuge und Tankstellen-Infrastruktur dafür
Technovation ; 29 , 2 ; 77-91
2009
15 Seiten, 77 Quellen
Article (Journal)
English
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