Vehicle technology is currently facing a transition period in which vehicles equipped wih alternative powertrains, such as battery powered electric vehicles, hybrid vehicles or fuel cell vehicles, are being developed for future markets. Strategic choices are currently being made by both automobile manufacturers and governments regarding which alternatives to support and develop. An assessment of the competitiveness of vehicles using alternative powertrains has been made here. This assessment indicates that there is a possibility for all alternatives to attain both technical and economic competitiveness. Previous studies estimating future costs and the technical performance of crucial powertrain components have been analyzed regarding both the results and the methods used. Contradictory results concerning future costs and performance in previous studies stem from the fact that they have used different methods and assumptions that answer different questions and reflect different levels of technical optimism. However, the uncertainty and time scale associated with the alternatives differ substantially. The assessment also show that current research and development (supply-push) needs to be complemented with market support (demand-pull) to bring altenative powertrains closer to competitiveness. Policy makers need not attempt to 'pick winners' among the alternative powertrains since demand-pull policy can be designed to benefit all alternatives and to be sensitive to the varying development status of key technologies.
Assessing the future competitiveness of alternative powertrains
Bewertung der zukünftigen Wettbewerbsfähigkeit von Alternativantrieben
International Journal of Vehicle Design ; 33 , 4 ; 309-331
2003
23 Seiten, 4 Bilder, 5 Tabellen, 55 Quellen
Article (Journal)
English
Anwendung im Fahrzeugbau , Anwendung im Motorenbau , Antriebstechnik , Hybridfahrzeug , Elektrofahrzeug , Elektroauto , Marktsegment , Wettbewerb , Wettbewerbsfähigkeit , Forschung und Entwicklung , Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse , Kostenersparnis , technische Entwicklung , Trend (Entwicklung) , zukünftiger Bedarf , Marktuntersuchung , Förderprogramm , Förderung (Subvention) , Alternativenergie , Abgasemission , Luftreinhaltung
Assessing the future competitiveness of alternative powertrains
Online Contents | 2003
|Assessing the future competitiveness of alternative powertrains
Automotive engineering | 2003
|Springer Verlag | 2014
|SLUB | 2013
|SLUB | 2013
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