The substantial adverse effects of risk factors on container shipping and logistics promoted a deep integration of risk analysis into the decision-making process. This paper aims to develop a well-grounded quantitative model to operational risk in a container shipping context. Considering uncertainty as a primary component of the risk concept, methods were employed in an inter-complementary manner to enable not only a sense of foreseeability but also a deeper look into the weaknesses of the knowledge base. The intersubjectivity of the input extraction process was supported by the Evidential Reasoning (ER) algorithm. Risks are then assessed based on a Fuzzy Rules Bayesian Network (FRBN) model with a 2-level parameter structure before meaningful interpretations can be derived through a new risk mapping approach. Besides an illustrative case study, the model was tested by sensitivity analysis and an examination of multiple validity claims.


    Access

    Check access

    Check availability in my library

    Order at Subito €


    Export, share and cite



    Title :

    A risk assessment model with systematical uncertainty treatment for container shipping operations


    Contributors:
    Nguyen, Son (author)

    Published in:

    Publication date :

    2020-08-17


    Size :

    19 pages




    Type of media :

    Article (Journal)


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Unknown




    Efficiency assessment of container operations of shipping agents in Spanish ports

    Gutiérrez, E. / Lozano, S. / Adenso-Díaz, B. et al. | Taylor & Francis Verlag | 2015


    SHIPPING CONTAINER

    CLIVE-SMITH MARTIN | European Patent Office | 2021

    Free access


    SHIPPING CONTAINER

    CHEN YU / TAECKENS JAMES / CLARK RICHARD et al. | European Patent Office | 2023

    Free access

    Shipping container

    European Patent Office | 2017

    Free access