Over the past decades, both the frequency and severity of disastrous events have increased all over the world. Thus far, many studies have focused on people’s evacuation behaviour during advance-notice events. However, little is known about their behaviour during no-notice events mainly because of the scarcity of available data. In an effort to address such a gap, this study presents a joint model to estimate evacuee’s destination and departure time choices in the context of no-notice emergency events. These two critical decisions can directly influence spatial and temporal traffic distributions in the network in case of disastrous events. A copula-based joint structure is proposed to explore the interdependencies between these evacuation attributes that stem from the shared factors influencing them and/or the causal effects that they might have on each other.
Analysis of evacuation destination and departure time choices for no-notice emergency events
Transportmetrica A: Transport Science ; 15 , 2 ; 896-914
2019-11-29
19 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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