Most traffic conflict indicators are defined for car-following scenarios where a follower vehicle interacts with a leader vehicle in one-dimensional space. However, vehicles do interact in a two-dimensional space especially in a heterogeneous traffic environment. Further, designating an interaction as risky depends on the interacting leader-follower (LF) pairs.
Conflict indicators namely Time-to-Collision (TTC) and lateral gap which quantifies longitudinal and lateral interactions respectively, were computed from video recordings at four accident black spots on four-lane divided highways. Conflict in two-dimensional space was modelled for various LF-pairs using the Bivariate Extreme Value function of these two conflict indicators. Crash risk was estimated for each LF-pairs separately. Results show that cars and light commercial vehicles exhibit higher crash risk as compared to two-wheelers and motorized three-wheelers. The proposed framework can be used for more accurate risk assessment and calibration of collision warning systems in lane free mixed traffic conditions.
Effect of vehicle size on crash risk in a heterogeneous traffic scenario: a bivariate extreme value approach
Transportation Letters ; 16 , 2 ; 166-181
2024-02-07
16 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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