In this study, the statistical properties and predictability of inter-urban highway traffic flows are investigated in a practical case in Heilongjiang Province, China. We build a topology graph of the inter-urban highway traffic flows and analyze its topological structure using the degree distribution. The production and the attraction of traffic zones have a high level of heterogeneity and are strongly correlated with the topology of the inter-urban highway traffic flows. We present the probability distributions of the inter-urban highway traffic and travel distances, which can be fitted by a power-law function and a two-term Gaussian model, respectively. We also present four prediction models for the inter-urban highway traffic flows. The first three models are existing models, namely the gravity model, radiation model, and population-weighted opportunities model. The fourth is a novel multifactor-weighted benefits model that considers population, GDP, and area. We also introduce the concept of the breakthrough threshold to make our model more accurate. A comparative study shows that our model is more suitable for predicting the inter-urban highway traffic flows than the other three models, whether predicting accuracy, cost, or efficiency.
Statistical analysis and predictability of inter-urban highway traffic flows: a case study in Heilongjiang Province, China
Transportmetrica A: Transport Science ; 16 , 3 ; 1062-1078
2020-01-01
17 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
Unknown
Fatigue-Related Traffic Accidents in Heilongjiang Province
Trans Tech Publications | 2013
|Fatigue-Related Traffic Accidents in Heilongjiang Province
Tema Archive | 2013
|Investigating crash injury severity at unsignalized intersections in Heilongjiang Province, China
DOAJ | 2014
|Study on the Railway Transportation Tense Problem in Heilongjiang Province
British Library Conference Proceedings | 2004
|Regional highway planning in China: the Jilin Province Highway Network Study
Online Contents | 1994
|