This paper reports on the application of uncertainty quantification methods to the prediction of the survivability of satellites re-entering the Earth atmosphere. Aleatory as well as epistemic parameters were varied. Parametric variation, Monte-Carlo, and Polynomial chaos expansion methods were applied. The re-entry code used was SCARAB. For the uncertainty quantification analysis this code was coupled with the DAKOTA software. Two satellites were modelled: a 2U CubeSat, representing the class of very light spececraft to study the demise characteristics, and a generic test satellite representing the class of medium-sized spacecraft, to study the ground impact uncertainty.


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    Title :

    Uncertainty Quantification for Re-entry Survivability Prediction


    Contributors:

    Published in:

    Space Safety is No Accident ; Chapter : 54 ; 469-478


    Publication date :

    2015-01-01


    Size :

    10 pages




    Type of media :

    Article/Chapter (Book)


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English




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