The paper discusses the methodological and practical aspects of forecasting the development of the type of economic activity “Transportation and storage”. The relevance of the formation of a management mechanism and a system of economic forecasting at various levels of management due to an increase in the degree of uncertainty and risk, instability of the external environment and the need to develop a foresight system is revealed. The analysis of publications and aspects of forecasting currently being developed for various hierarchical levels of management is carried out. It is noted that at present, issues of forecasting at the macroeconomic and microeconomic levels are most fully developed. In connection with the carried out analysis, the purpose of the study is formulated. Macroeconomic conditions and requirements that are important for forecasting are given: the development of globalization processes, resource constraints, an increased degree of uncertainty and risk, and others. The specificity of the type of economic activity as an object of forecasting in a market economy is revealed. The characteristics of the information and instrumental base of the study are given. Analytical tools are used, provided by the theories of correlation and regression as the most effective and accurate ones. The composition of the predicted and factor indicators used is analyzed: external and internal, controlled and uncontrollable. The method of forecasting “Transportation and storage” as a type of economic activity is proposed and tested.
Forecasting the Development of the Type of Economic Activity “Transportation and Storage”
Lect. Notes in Networks, Syst.
International Scientific Siberian Transport Forum ; 2021 May 11, 2021 - May 14, 2021
International Scientific Siberian Transport Forum TransSiberia - 2021 ; Chapter : 83 ; 756-764
2022-03-18
9 pages
Article/Chapter (Book)
Electronic Resource
English
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