Abstract This study assessed the potential for reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from passenger vehicles in the Republic of Korea and evaluated the feasibility of meeting nationally determined contribution (NDC) targets. Scenarios were developed in three areas: vehicle registration, average mileage, and average GHG emissions of newly registered vehicles. Total GHG emissions were projected by selecting scenarios for each area. The results indicate that achieving the transportation sector’s NDC target remains a significant challenge, even under the most optimistic emission reduction scenarios. Additionally, calculations were conducted to evaluate the adequacy of average GHG emission regulations for newly registered vehicles. The results reveal that full compliance with these regulations would achieve less than half of the target reduction. Even in a scenario where all newly registered vehicles from 2024 onward are zero-emission, the reduction would fall slightly short of the NDC target.
Scenario-Based Analysis of Greenhouse Gas Reduction Potential for Passenger Vehicles, Considering Electrification in the Republic of Korea
Int.J Automot. Technol.
2025-04-28
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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