When planning space missions, radiation effects due to large solar particle events (SPEs) can become a major concern since doses can become mission threatening to both the crew and the spacecraft electronic components. As mission duration increases, the possibility that a significant dose is delivered also increases, especially during the more active parts of the solar cycle. Therefore, a method of predicting when certain limiting doses will be reached following the onset of a large SPE needs to be available. Typical dose versus time profiles of a SPE can be represented by a Weibull functional form, which is comprised of three unknown parameters. Since these dose-time profiles are nonlinear functions, the use of artificial neural networks as the forecasting mechanism is ideal. In this work we report on the status of development of a “nowcast” methodology that utilizes a set of artificial neural networks that can forecast profiles of dose versus time since event onset using dose and dose rate information obtained early on as the event begins.
Using Artificial Intelligence Methods to Predict Doses from Large Solar Particle Events in Space
Sae Technical Papers
International Conference On Environmental Systems ; 2004
2004-07-19
Conference paper
English
Using Artificial Intelligence Methods to Predict Doses from Large Solar Particle Events in Space
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