Abstract This paper reports the results of a scenario-based simulation study to explore mobility effects of an aging society in the Netherlands. Four accumulative behavioral scenario variants, embedded in an economic and demographic scenario are used to simulate possible future activity-travel patterns, using the Albatross system as the simulator. The variants account for likely differences in activity-travel behavior between elderly today and elderly in the future. Trends ongoing over the last decade in the Netherlands suggest that future elderly need to work longer, change their activity pattern with most growth occurring in the social/leisure activity category, will try to avoid morning peak hours by rescheduling their activities and may introduce more spatial diversity in terms of their residence location. Results show that these behavioral and spatial changes lead to a significant increase in travel demands as well as temporal, spatial and modal shifts in mobility patterns. We discuss possible policy implications of these predictions and evaluate the specific strength of activity-based models for studies of this kind.
More gray hair—but for whom? Scenario-based simulations of elderly activity travel patterns in 2020
Transportation ; 35 , 5
2008
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
BKL: | 74.75$jVerkehrsplanung$jVerkehrspolitik / 55.80$jVerkehrswesen$jTransportwesen: Allgemeines / 55.80 Verkehrswesen, Transportwesen: Allgemeines / 74.75 Verkehrsplanung, Verkehrspolitik |
More gray hair—but for whom? Scenario-based simulations of elderly activity travel patterns in 2020
Online Contents | 2008
|Land Use and Travel Patterns Among the Elderly
British Library Conference Proceedings | 2004
|Activity-Based Model of Women's Activity–Travel Patterns
Transportation Research Record | 2009
|Scenario-based multi-objective AVI reader location models under different travel demand patterns
Taylor & Francis Verlag | 2010
|Activity-Based Model of Women's Activity—Travel Patterns
Online Contents | 2009
|