Mathematical risk analysis was used in Apollo, but it gave unacceptably pessimistic resultsand was discontinued. Shuttle was designed without using risk analysis, under the assumptionthat good engineering would make it very safe. This approach led to an unnecessarily riskydesign, which directly led to the Shuttle tragedies. Although the Challenger disaster wasdirectly due to a mistaken launch decision, it might have been avoided by a safer design. Theultimate cause of the Shuttle tragedies was the Apollo era decision to abandon risk analysis.


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    Title :

    NASA's Understanding of Risk in Apollo and Shuttle


    Contributors:

    Conference:

    AIAA SPACE and Astronautics Forum ; 2018 ; Orlando, FL, United States


    Publication date :

    2018-09-17


    Type of media :

    Conference paper


    Type of material :

    No indication


    Language :

    English






    NASA'S UNDERSTANDING OF RISK IN APOLLO AND SHUTTLE (AIAA 2018-5235)

    Jones, Harry W. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2018