New launch vehicles have historically had significantly higher failure probabilities in early flights than what has been predicted using Probabilistic Risk Assessment. Work on a new methodology originally started with ARES I-X and the Common Standards Working Group (CSWG) for range safety applications. CSWG consists of the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), Air Force, and NASA. Historical launch vehicle data was viewed as the best predictor of success/failure for launches of new vehicles. A launch vehicle database was developed that includes all launches from 1980-2017 (both US and foreign). Entries to the database include: Vehicle by model type; Launch dates; Failure description; Failure Result (Loss Of Vehicle (LOV)/Loss Of Mission (LOM); Failure cause (when available); Vehicle designs (stages/engines/etc.)
Synthesizing a New Launch Vehicle Failure Probability Based on Historical Flight Data
Probabilistic Safety Assessment & Management (PSAM) ; 2018 ; Los Angeles, CA, United States
2018-09-16
Miscellaneous
No indication
English
Delta Vehicle Flight Failure Report Launch 33
NTIS | 1966
Delta vehicle flight failure report launch 33
NTRS | 1966
LAUNCH VEHICLE ATMOSPHERIC FLIGHT LOADS - Launch Vehicle Atmospheric Flight Loads
Online Contents | 2000
|Launch vehicle historical reliability
AIAA | 1998
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