A method for the assessment and documentation of cost risks in the development and operation of launch vehicles is presented. Special attention is paid to the complex logistics of modern launch vehicles, the possible reusability of launcher components, and the annual launch demand. The fundamentals of cost risk assessment for launch vehicles are summarized. The implementation of a developed stochastic simulation model on a personal computer using the FORTRAN 77 standard and the Monte Carlo technique facilitates the assessment as well as the graphical output. The possibilities of the method are demonstrated by the Space Transportation System. It turns out that the consideration of logistic relationships is of particular importance for the cost risk assessment of reusable launch vehicles.


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    Title :

    Entwicklung Eines Methodischen Ansatzes Zur Kosten-Risikobewertung von Traegersystemen (Development of a Methodical Approach to the Cost-Risks Assessment of Launch Vehicles)


    Contributors:

    Publication date :

    1988


    Size :

    85 pages


    Type of media :

    Report


    Type of material :

    No indication


    Language :

    English