An alternative approach to estimating aggregate traffic variables on freeways--spatial mean velocity and density--is presented. Vehicle arrival times at a given location on a roadway, typically a presence detector, are regarded as a point or counting Poisson process whose rate is a function of the state of the traffic at every instant of time. Moreover, the traffic state is modeled as a finite-state Markov chain. A sequential point process filter, optimum in the mean-squared error sense, is designed to estimate the state from observations of the vehicle arrival-time sequence. Different possibilities for incorporating potential additional information such as speed and headway are explored. Parameter values for the underlying Markov chain are obtained via a maximum likelihood estimator. Qualitative behavior of the proposed algorithms is studied with simulated traffic flow data from both macroscopic and microscopic models.
Estimation of Traffic Variables Using Point Processing Techniques
1978
80 pages
Report
No indication
English
Estimation of traffic variables using a linear model of traffic flow
Elsevier | 1978
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