Passenger transportation is highly dependent upon portable fuels, particularly gasoline. Passenger travel, both within and between Nebraska cities, is nearly totally reliant upon the automobile as the travel mode. These two facts are not projected to change during the forecasting period (1980 to 2000). In all projections, consumption is expected to decline for the state. In the high projection, it is assumed that personal miles traveled and the state's population will increase in a substantial fashion. In the moderate projection, it is assumed that personal miles traveled will remain constant over time and the state's population will increase slightly. In the low projection, it is assumed that personal miles will decrease substantially and the state's population will increase slightly initially and begin to decline during the 1990's. In all cases it is assumed that US Department of Transportation motor vehicle fleet efficiencies averages will be obtained. The critical determinant resulting in the total consumption decline in all cases is the ever improving motor vehicle fleet efficiencies created by federally mandated minimum efficiency standards for new motor vehicles. The forecasting methodology is simple and well documented. Fundamental changes in trends associated with any of the independent variables could alter the estimated consumption levels significantly. (ERA citation 07:061718)


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    Title :

    Projected Energy Demand for the Passenger-Transportation Sector for Nebraska. Projection Energy Report No. 60


    Contributors:
    D. W. Macke (author)

    Publication date :

    1980


    Size :

    31 pages


    Type of media :

    Report


    Type of material :

    No indication


    Language :

    English