Building upon the conceptual framework developed during our year one research, a container port and multimodal transportation demand simulation model is applied. The model selects the least-cost (vessel-port-rail-truck) route from sources to markets, where costs are defined as total general costs, costs for using each transportation facility plus interest on the value of investment in containerized goods. The database in the model includes all state and federal highways, the Class I rail system, and oceangoing and near shore shipping routes. For the US, the analysis is at the state level (at the county level for the Northeast). Outside the US, analysis is at the continent level, except for Asia, which is divided into East and West Asia (Singapore and West). Best available data are used as input for economic parameters. Key results show (1) estimated annual demand for 14 major US coastal ports for 1999, (2) the transportation routes for different markets, sources, and cargo values, (3) market areas (the 'extent of the market') served by major ports, and (4) interport demand changes due to hypothetical fee changes at selected ports. Then, the model is used to illustrate estimation of (4) the initial demand for a hypothetical new port and (5) the importance of availability of double -stack train rail access and competition from other ports for the hypothetical port. These results then were used, along with other information, to estimate the financial feasibility and risk for the hypothetical port. Limitations, qualifications and refinements and extensions are noted.


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    Title :

    Comprehensive Framework for Sustainable Container Ports Development on the US East Coast in the 21st Century, Year Two


    Contributors:
    T. Grigalunas (author) / M. Luo (author) / B. M. Jung (author)

    Publication date :

    2002


    Size :

    81 pages


    Type of media :

    Report


    Type of material :

    No indication


    Language :

    English





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