Understanding how and why the development of conceptual ship designs sometimes become ineffective is essential for ship design firms. Our proposition is that in many projects, uncertainty influences negatively the effectiveness of the decision-making process.

    OBJECTIVE:

    The objective of this article is to quantify the perception of uncertainty in conceptual ship design processes.

    METHODS:

    In this article, we propose a research model to study such a phenomenon. The research model is tested using multivariate regression analysis, building on a survey conducted among 23 shipping companies.

    RESULTS:

    Our model suggests that 14% ( R 2 ) of the variability in the effectiveness of decision-making processes in ship design can be explained by changes in the perception of uncertainty. We can extract three interesting insights from this research work for the ship design practitioners as to how to improve the effectiveness of their design processes: (i) put more effort into the contextual factors affecting the ship design process, (ii) improve the communication with vessel owners and other stakeholders, and (iii) improve the agility of the design process.

    CONCLUSIONS:

    This study contributes to research on uncertainty in ship design processes by: (a) proposing an investigative model, (b) developing and testing a survey instrument and (c) running a multivariate regression analysis to study the effect of perceived uncertainty on the effectiveness of decision-making processes in conceptual ship design.


    Access

    Check access

    Check availability in my library

    Order at Subito €


    Export, share and cite



    Title :

    How uncertainty influences decision-making effectiveness in conceptual ship design processes


    Contributors:

    Published in:

    Publication date :

    2021-01-07


    Size :

    32 pages




    Type of media :

    Article (Journal)


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English




    A military effectiveness analysis and decision making framework for naval ship design and acquisition

    Hootman, John C. (John Christian), 1979- | DSpace@MIT | 2003

    Free access


    A group decision-making interface for conceptual design

    Stump, G.M. / Yukish, M. / O'Hara, J.J. | IEEE | 2006


    A decision making framework for cruise ship design

    Katsoufis, George P. (George Paraskevas) | DSpace@MIT | 2006

    Free access

    A Flexible Multi-Disciplinary Optimisation Approach to Back Up Decision-Making Processes in Aircraft Conceptual Design

    Schieck, F. / Schmitt, D. / Deutsche Gesellschaft fur Luft- und Raumfahrt et al. | British Library Conference Proceedings | 2001