The urban signalized road network, characterized by its dynamic and complex nature due to frequent signal control adjustments and unpredictable demand fluctuations, presents significant challenges for predicting lane-level traffic flow. This study introduces the innovative MGCN-TAMA model, which addresses these challenges by integrating multi-graph convolutional networks with a temporal-aware multi-head attention mechanism. The proposed model employs three types of adjacency matrices-a geographical matrix, a signal matrix, and an attention matrix-to capture the complex spatial dependencies among various traffic approaches. Additionally, the model utilizes temporal-aware multi-head attention to discern the nonlinear correlations in traffic variations over time. Tested on a real-world dataset from Tongxiang City, the MGCN-TAMA model significantly outperforms traditional models. Notably, in the first 30-minute prediction interval, our model achieves the lowest Mean Absolute Error, with 2.5649 vehicles per 5-minute span. These results underscore the effectiveness of combining graph-based methods with advanced attention mechanisms to enhance the accuracy of predicting lane-level traffic volumes in urban networks.
Integrating Multi-Graph Convolutional Networks and Temporal-Aware Multi-Head Attention for Lane-Level Traffic Flow Prediction in Urban Networks
2024-09-24
1029603 byte
Conference paper
Electronic Resource
English
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