To provide a system and a method to precisely predict an actual traffic state.SOLUTION: A traffic state estimation system 10 is configured to: store a state restraint 111 which is information about restraint of a traffic state, a state estimation value 101 which is an estimation value of the traffic state, an observation sensor value 103 which is information observed by a sensor device 2 that acquires information about the traffic state, and an observation characteristic 112 which is information about characteristics of the sensor device during observing the observation sensor value; generate a state prediction value 102 which is a traffic state prediction value at a certain time based on the state restraint and the state estimation value; generate an observation prediction value 104 which is a traffic state prediction value at a certain time based on the observation characteristic and the observation sensor value; generate a deviation evaluation value 106 which is an evaluation value expressing a degree of deviation of the observation prediction value from the state prediction value; and update the state estimation value based on the deviation evaluation value.SELECTED DRAWING: Figure 3

    【課題】現実の交通状態を精度よく予測するシステム及び方法を提供する。【解決手段】交通状態推定システム10は、交通状態に対する制約に関する情報である状態制約111、交通状態の推定値である状態推定値101、交通状態に関する情報を取得するセンサ装置2が観測した情報である観測センサ値103及び観測センサ値を観測する際のセンサ装置の特性に関する情報である観測特性112を記憶し、状態制約と状態推定値とに基づき、ある時刻における交通状態の予測値である状態予測値102を生成し、観測特性と観測センサ値とに基づき、ある時刻における交通状態の予測値である観測予測値104を生成し、状態予測値と観測予測値との乖離の度合いを示す評価値である乖離評価値106を生成し、乖離評価値に基づき状態推定値を更新する。【選択図】図3


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    Title :

    TRAFFIC STATE ESTIMATION SYSTEM AND TRAFFIC STATE ESTIMATION METHOD


    Additional title:

    交通状態推定システム、及び交通状態推定方法


    Contributors:

    Publication date :

    2020-07-27


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Japanese


    Classification :

    IPC:    B61L Leiten des Eisenbahnverkehrs , GUIDING RAILWAY TRAFFIC



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