The invention relates to a differential charging-oriented truck travel selection path prediction method, which comprises the following steps of: constructing a random utility function, and maximizing a theoretical fitting model by using the utility function; based on a random utility function, a binary Logit model is established to describe the travel selection process of a truck driver before and after differential charging; performing model parameter calibration on the binary Logit model by applying traffic flow data of the expressway and the corresponding parallel road, and constructing a truck travel selection model; and inputting the current actual driver personal attribute, the truck-cargo attribute, the road attribute, the time and the economy attribute data into the truck travel selection model, and outputting to obtain a corresponding travel path prediction result. Compared with the prior art, the method has the advantages that the binary Logit truck travel selection model is constructed, and the model is calibrated by using the actual traffic flow data, so that the accuracy of the truck travel selection model can be ensured, and the accuracy of truck travel selection path prediction is effectively improved.
本发明涉及一种面向差异化收费的货车出行选择路径预测方法,包括:构建随机效用函数,以效用函数最大化理论拟合模型;基于随机效用函数,通过建立二元Logit模型来描述差异化收费前后货车驾驶员的出行选择过程;应用高速公路及对应的平行公路交通流量数据对二元Logit模型进行模型参数标定,构建得到货车出行选择模型;将当前实际的驾驶员个人属性、车货属性、道路属性、时间与经济性属性数据输入货车出行选择模型,输出得到对应的出行路径预测结果。与现有技术相比,本发明构建二元Logit货车出行选择模型,并应用实际交通流量数据对模型进行标定,能够保证货车出行选择模型的准确性,进而有效提高货车出行选择路径预测的准确性。
Differentiated charging-oriented truck travel selection path prediction method
一种面向差异化收费的货车出行选择路径预测方法
2025-01-03
Patent
Electronic Resource
Chinese
IPC: | G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES / G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS |
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