The invention relates to a train delay prediction method and device and a storage medium. The method comprises the steps that an initial railway network diagram at the current moment is determined, nodes in the railway network diagram comprise one or more of train nodes, station nodes and interference event nodes, and edges in the railway network diagram and adjacent matrixes corresponding to the edges are used for representing the interaction relation between the nodes; and inputting the initial railway network diagram at the current moment into the railway network delay evolution prediction model, and determining a train delay prediction result after a preset time interval based on the characteristics of the nodes, the characteristics of the edges and the initial adjacent matrixes corresponding to the edges in the initial railway network diagram. According to the embodiment of the invention, the method achieves the prediction of the delay of the train with the prediction range as the guide, can reveal the interaction relation of the train in the delay evolution process, and can coordinate the interpretability and accuracy of the delay evolution prediction.

    本公开涉及一种列车晚点预测方法、装置和存储介质。该方法包括:确定当前时刻的初始铁路网络图,铁路网络图中的节点包括列车节点、车站节点、干扰事件节点中的一种或多种,铁路网络图中的边和边对应的邻接矩阵用于表示节点之间的相互作用关系;将当前时刻的初始铁路网络图输入铁路网晚点演化预测模型,基于初始铁路网络图中节点的特征、边的特征以及边对应的初始邻接矩阵,确定预设时间间隔后的列车晚点预测结果。根据本申请实施例,实现了以预测范围为导向进行列车晚点预测,同时,可以揭示列车在晚点演化过程中的相互作用关系,从而可以协调晚点演化预测的可解释性和准确性。


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    Title :

    Train delay prediction method and device and storage medium


    Additional title:

    列车晚点预测方法、装置和存储介质


    Contributors:
    JI YINDONG (author) / LI ZHONGCAN (author) / DONG WEI (author) / SUN XINYA (author) / XU CHENGNUO (author)

    Publication date :

    2024-10-11


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES / B61L Leiten des Eisenbahnverkehrs , GUIDING RAILWAY TRAFFIC / G06F ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING , Elektrische digitale Datenverarbeitung / G06N COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS , Rechnersysteme, basierend auf spezifischen Rechenmodellen




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