The invention discloses an electric vehicle load prediction method and system considering user charging selection, and relates to the technical field of electric vehicle and power grid interaction, and the method comprises the steps: collecting data, and constructing a charging selection model considering user rationality; constructing an electric vehicle travel model based on a Markov chain; and through an electric vehicle travel model, a dynamic road network model and a charging selection model considering user rationality, predicting the space-time distribution of the electric vehicle charging load. According to the electric vehicle load prediction method considering user charging selection provided by the invention, the rational selection process of the user on the vehicle charging time and place is considered, and the influence of factors such as user travel, charging cost, battery depreciation loss and charging loss cost is comprehensively considered, so that the space-time distribution of the charging load can be better simulated; the method improves the prediction effect of the spatial and temporal distribution of the charging load of the electric vehicle, and achieves better effects in the aspects of prediction precision, calculation efficiency and applicability.

    本发明公开了一种考虑用户充电选择的电动汽车负荷预测方法及系统,涉及电动汽车与电网互动技术领域,包括采集数据构建考虑用户理性的充电选择模型;基于马尔可夫链构建电动汽车出行模型;通过电动汽车出行模型、动态路网模型及考虑用户理性的充电选择模型对电动汽车充电负荷的时空分布进行预测。本发明提供的考虑用户充电选择的电动汽车负荷预测方法通过考虑用户对车辆充电时间和地点的理性选择过程,综合考虑用户出行、充电费用、电池折旧损失和充电损失成本等因素的影响,能更好地模拟充电负荷的时空分布,改善了电动汽车充电负荷时空分布的预测效果,本发明在预测精度、计算效率和适用性方面都取得更加良好的效果。


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    Title :

    Electric vehicle load prediction method and system considering user charging selection


    Additional title:

    一种考虑用户充电选择的电动汽车负荷预测方法及系统


    Contributors:
    LIU JINSEN (author) / LUO NING (author) / LONG JIAHUAN (author) / ZHANG PENGCHENG (author) / ZHENG FEI (author) / WANG JIE (author) / CHEN LUDONG (author) / CHEN BO (author) / ZHANG YU (author) / CHEN QING (author)

    Publication date :

    2024-03-08


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    H02J CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER , Schaltungsanordnungen oder Systeme für die Abgabe oder Verteilung elektrischer Leistung / B60L PROPULSION OF ELECTRICALLY-PROPELLED VEHICLES , Antrieb von elektrisch angetriebenen Fahrzeugen / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES



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