The invention discloses an electric vehicle charging load prediction method and a terminal, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining the historical travel data of a user, classifying and screening the historical travel data, and obtaining the historical travel chain data; performing user travel prediction according to the historical travel chain data to generate predicted travel chain data; according to the predicted travel chain data, the energy consumption model and the predicted travel energy consumption data, generating energy consumption chain data; according to the energy consumption chain data, combining an anxiety degree model to predict and generate charging chain data under different charging strategies; generating a charging load change curve under different charging strategies according to the charging chain data; according to the method, travel behavior uncertainty and space-time coupling characteristics of the electric vehicle user are considered, travel behaviors of the user are deduced and predicted through historical travel data to deduce energy consumption of the electric vehicle, charging chain information conforming to a charging rule is obtained in combination with an anxiety degree model, charging load curve changes under different charging strategies are obtained, and the charging efficiency is improved. And simulation of the charging load of the electric vehicle is realized.
本发明公开了一种电动汽车充电负荷预测方法与终端,获取用户历史出行数据,对历史出行数据进行分类和筛选,得到历史行程链数据;根据历史行程链数据进行用户出行预测,生成预测预测行程链数据;根据预测行程链数据以及能耗模型,预测行程能耗数据,生成能耗链数据;根据能耗链数据,结合焦虑度模型,预测生成不同充电策略下的充电链数据;根据充电链数据,生成不同充电策略下的充电负荷变化曲线;本发明考虑电动汽车用户出行行为不确定性和时空耦合特性,通过历史出行数据推导预测用户的出行行为,以推导电动汽车耗能,结合焦虑度模型得到符合充电规律的充电链信息,得到不同充电策略下的充电负荷曲线变化,实现对电动汽车充电负荷的模拟。
Electric vehicle charging load prediction method and terminal
一种电动汽车充电负荷预测方法与终端
2024-03-08
Patent
Electronic Resource
Chinese
IPC: | H02J CIRCUIT ARRANGEMENTS OR SYSTEMS FOR SUPPLYING OR DISTRIBUTING ELECTRIC POWER , Schaltungsanordnungen oder Systeme für die Abgabe oder Verteilung elektrischer Leistung / B60L PROPULSION OF ELECTRICALLY-PROPELLED VEHICLES , Antrieb von elektrisch angetriebenen Fahrzeugen / G06F ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING , Elektrische digitale Datenverarbeitung / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES |
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