The invention discloses a prediction and compensation correction method and system for predicted arrival time of an inbound flight, and the method comprises the steps: monitoring flight data, obtaining a flight plan change condition based on a basic information library according to the flight data, and updating flight simulation information; performing flight simulation deduction on a target flight according to the flight simulation information, and predicting initial predicted arrival time of the target flight; the actual landing time of the target flight and the initial predicted arrival time predicted 30 minutes before landing are obtained, error results are calculated, the error results are classified and summarized based on an approach program, and an error sequence is formed; and carrying out compensation correction on the error sequence to obtain a prediction error, and obtaining the final prediction landing time of the subsequent arrival flight according to the prediction error. According to the invention, flight simulation deduction and compensation correction are carried out on the arrival route, so that the predicted arrival time of each arrival flight is accurately predicted, and the dynamic change of the flight can be responded in real time.
本发明公开了一种进港航班预计到达时间的预测和补偿修正方法及系统,方法包括:监听航班数据,根据所述航班数据基于基础信息库获取航班计划变更情况,并更新飞行仿真模拟信息;根据所述飞行仿真模拟信息对目标航班进行飞行模拟推演,并预测目标航班初始预计到达时间;获取目标航班实际落地时间和落地前30分钟所预测的初始预计到达时间,并计算误差结果,对所述误差结果基于进场程序进行分类汇总,构成误差序列;对所述误差序列进行补偿修正,得到预测误差,并根据所述预测误差获取后续进港航班的最终预测落地时间。本发明对进港航路进行飞行模拟推演,并进行补偿修正,进而准确预测各进港航班的预计到达时间,且能实时响应航班动态变化。
Prediction and compensation correction method and system for predicted arrival time of arrival flight
一种进港航班预计到达时间的预测和补偿修正方法及系统
2024-03-08
Patent
Electronic Resource
Chinese
ARRIVAL TIME PREDICTION METHOD, ARRIVAL TIME PREDICTION DEVICE, AND ARRIVAL TIME PREDICTION PROGRAM
European Patent Office | 2022
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