The invention discloses an expressway special section risk situation research and judgment method based on a cumulative effect, and the method comprises the steps: S1, analyzing the risk situation index evolution of a characteristic section road section, and constructing a traffic abnormal operation state data set; s2, performing sample expansion on the traffic abnormal operation state data set to obtain an expanded abnormal operation state data set; s3, based on the expanded abnormal operation state data set, constructing a risk cumulative effect evaluation model expanded along the time dimension; and S4, carrying out quantitative analysis on a risk prediction result output by the risk cumulative effect evaluation model to obtain a risk cause. According to the method, the risk situation of the special road section of the highway can be efficiently and accurately researched and judged in real time, and technical support is provided for formulating risk intervention measures.

    本发明公开了一种基于累积效应的高速公路特殊路段风险态势研判方法,包括:S1.对特征断面道路区段的风险态势指标演化进行分析,构建交通异常运行状态数据集;S2.对交通异常运行状态数据集进行样本扩充,得到扩充后的异常运行状态数据集;S3.基于扩充后的异常运行状态数据集,构建沿时间维度展开的风险累积效应评估模型;S4.对风险累积效应评估模型输出的风险预测结果进行量化分析,得到风险致因。本发明能够高效、精准、实时地对公路特殊路段的风险态势进行研判,为风险干预措施的制定提供了技术支撑。


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    Title :

    Expressway special section risk situation studying and judging method based on cumulative effect


    Additional title:

    基于累积效应的高速公路特殊路段风险态势研判方法


    Contributors:
    YE QING (author) / LUO ZHONGBIN (author) / WANG SHAOFEI (author) / ZHOU XIN (author) / SONG LANG (author) / ZHU YONG (author) / XIE YAOHUA (author) / CHEN CHEN (author) / CHEN QI (author)

    Publication date :

    2023-07-07


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    G06F ELECTRIC DIGITAL DATA PROCESSING , Elektrische digitale Datenverarbeitung / G06N COMPUTER SYSTEMS BASED ON SPECIFIC COMPUTATIONAL MODELS , Rechnersysteme, basierend auf spezifischen Rechenmodellen / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES / G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS



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