The invention discloses a method for predicting a red light running behavior of a rider in consideration of the vehicle type and the group, which considers the influence of the vehicle type and the rider group, combines the personal characteristics of the rider, traffic flow characteristics, plane intersection geometric characteristics and signal control characteristics, adopts a random parameter logic model, mines a plane signalized intersection rider red light running behavior occurrence mechanism, establishes a rider red light running behavior model considering the vehicle type and the group, and predicts the rider red light running behavior occurrence probability. According to the invention, under the condition that the effect of the road traffic composition and the traffic facilities on the red light running behavior of the rider is determined, the probability of the red light running behavior of the rider is quantitatively estimated, so that the cost benefit of the road traffic design can be optimized; and reference is provided for road traffic managers and public traffic operators to formulate and modify traffic planning policies and measures, a basis is provided for traffic safety management and evaluation and sustainable development of road traffic, and practical engineering application value is achieved.
本发明公开了一种考虑车辆类型和组群的骑行者闯红灯行为预测方法,考虑自行车类型和骑行者组群的影响,结合骑行者个人特征、交通流特征、平面交叉口几何特性以及信号控制特征,采用随机参数逻辑模型,挖掘平面信号交叉口骑行者闯红灯行为发生机理,建立考虑车辆类型和组群的骑行者闯红灯行为模型,预测骑行者闯红灯行为发生概率。本发明在道路交通组成和交通设施对骑行者闯红灯行为作用效果确定条件下,定量估计骑行者发生闯红灯行为的概率,能够使得道路交通设计的成本效益最优化,为道路交通管理者和公共交通运营者制定和修改交通规划政策和措施提供参考,为交通安全管理与评价以及道路交通可持续性发展提供依据,具有实际的工程运用价值。
Method for predicting red light running behavior of rider in consideration of vehicle type and group
考虑车辆类型和组群的骑行者闯红灯行为预测方法
2021-11-30
Patent
Electronic Resource
Chinese
IPC: | G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS |
Predicting Red-Light Running Behavior
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