The invention relates to the technical field of buses, in particular to a circle time prediction method based on historical bus operation data, which comprises the following steps of: firstly, acquiring historical bus operation data which specifically comprises a workday/rest day, a summer system/winter system, a holiday, an extreme weather day, a major activity day, station stop time information and inter-station road section driving information; classifying the data, establishing a bus road section spent time database based on the spent time between the stations, expressing the total time spent from the bus stations S to D as the sum of the stop time and the driving time, and recording the sum as the expectation of the operation spent between every two adjacent stations by adopting a historical average value; obtaining the spent time between any two stations in a summation mode, and the predicted time of the number of running circles of the bus can be obtained by adding the predicted values of all the stations. Calculation is carried out through the operation time between the stations, then the operation time of the circles is calculated in a combined mode, the accuracy is high, and the reference value is large.

    本发明涉及公交车技术领域,尤其涉及一种基于公交运行历史数据的圈次时间预测方法,首先采集公交车历史运行数据,具体包括工作日/休息日、夏时制/冬时制、节假日、极端天气日、重大活动日、站点停靠时间信息和站点间路段行驶信息,对数据进行归类,基于站点之间花费时间建立一个公交车路段花费时间数据库,公交站点S到D的时间总花费表示为停靠时间与行驶时间之和,记为采用历史平均值作为每个相邻的站点间运行花费的预期,任意两站间通过求和的方式获得花费时间,通过各个站点的预测值进行相加即可得到预测的公交车运行圈次的时间。本发明通过站与站之间的运行时间进行计算,然后组合计算圈次的运行时间,精确度高,参考价值大。


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    Title :

    Circle time prediction method based on historical bus operation data


    Additional title:

    一种基于公交运行历史数据的圈次时间预测方法


    Contributors:
    DENG WEI (author)

    Publication date :

    2021-06-29


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    Chinese


    Classification :

    IPC:    G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS / G06Q Datenverarbeitungssysteme oder -verfahren, besonders angepasst an verwaltungstechnische, geschäftliche, finanzielle oder betriebswirtschaftliche Zwecke, sowie an geschäftsbezogene Überwachungs- oder Voraussagezwecke , DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES




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