The invention discloses an air traffic flow short-term prediction method based on fractal interpolation. According to the method, a flow time sequence construction module, a Hurst index calculation module and a flow short-term prediction module are installed; and a flow time sequence is constructed according to statistical scales of 15 minutes, 30 minutes and 60 minutes, a Hurst index of the flowtime sequence is calculated by applying an R/S method to identify fractal characteristics of the flow time sequence, and short-term prediction is performed on the flow by applying a fractal interpolation method. With application of the method, scientific criteria can be provided for accurately mastering the air traffic situation and accurately implementing flow management measures.
本发明公开了一种基于分形插值的空中交通流量短期预测方法,本方法通过安装流量时间序列构建模块、Hurst指数计算模块和流量短期预测模块;按照15min、30min、60min的统计尺度构造流量时间序列,应用R/S方法计算流量时间序列的Hurst指数来识别流量时间序列的分形特征,应用分形插值方法对流量进行短期预测。应用本方法可以为准确掌握空中交通态势、精准实施流量管理措施提供科学判据。
Air traffic flow short-term prediction method based on fractal interpolation
一种基于分形插值的空中交通流量短期预测方法
2020-10-16
Patent
Electronic Resource
Chinese
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