The invention relates to a method for predicting the range influenced by an abnormal traffic event of highway, and suitable for main lines of the highway. The method comprises that A Van Aerde traffic flow model of a road is established; a target function and an extremely low error threshold are set, and the duration of the event and the longest queuing time are predict; the traffic capacities of an accident point under multiple factors are determined, the upstream flows of the accident point within different time intervals are predicted based on data of vehicle detectors, and corresponding densities are obtained; the velocity of evanescent waves, the velocity of queuing waves at corresponding time and the influence length are calculated by utilizing the traffic wave theory; the position relation among the currently estimated queuing position, upstream and downstream ramps and the vehicle detectors is determined; and the solution of the target function is determined, and the longest queuing time and the range influenced by the event are determined. Based on establishment of the Van Aerde model, the method takes influence of traffic flow change and other factors on the velocities of the waves, the practical traffic flow features can be more effectively reflected, the adaptability is higher, and the prediction accuracy can be improved.


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    Title :

    Method for predicting range influenced by abnormal traffic event of highway


    Contributors:
    SUN DIHUA (author) / ZHAO MIN (author) / ZHENG LINJIANG (author) / LUO LIDONG (author) / WANG XUANJIN (author)

    Publication date :

    2015-11-04


    Type of media :

    Patent


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English


    Classification :

    IPC:    G08G Anlagen zur Steuerung, Regelung oder Überwachung des Verkehrs , TRAFFIC CONTROL SYSTEMS



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