Abstract This paper offers a simple approach for identifying propagated departure delays and measuring their contribution to arrival delays. Under our approach, a propagated departure delay occurs when the arrival delay of the inbound flight exceeds the subsequent flight’s ground buffer. The size (or frequency) of such propagated delays relative to the size (or frequency) of arrival delays then measures the contribution of propagated delays to late arrivals. This approach differs from earlier attempts to quantify the contribution of delay propagation since it focuses on an individual flight and its immediate predecessor, without attempting to trace the sources of delay propagation back through the entire sequence of prior flights. The paper’s empirical results show that the contribution of propagated departure delays to arrival delays depends on several key determinants.
Highlights Previous papers trace delay propagation through an aircraft’s daily flights. This paper considers only the inbound arrival delay for the single previous flight. Measured this way, delay propagation’s contribution to arrival delays is high as follows. For flights with non-hub origins, flights later in the day, and flights operated by LCCs.
Airline delay propagation: A simple method for measuring its extent and determinants
Transportation Research Part B: Methodological ; 162 ; 55-71
2022-05-04
17 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
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