Highlights An efficient calibration framework for large-scale traffic simulators is proposed. The framework is based on metamodel simulation-based optimization (SO) algorithms. The metamodel embeds analytical structural problem-specific information. It is used to address a calibration problem for the large-scale Berlin network. This approach reduces simulation runtime until convergence by over 80% on average.
Abstract Road transportation simulators are increasingly used by transportation stakeholders around the world for the analysis of intricate transportation systems. Model calibration is a crucial prerequisite for transportation simulators to reliably reproduce and predict traffic conditions. This paper considers the calibration of transportation simulators. The methodology is suitable for a broad family of simulators. Its use is illustrated with stochastic and computationally costly simulators. The calibration problem is formulated as a simulation-based optimization (SO) problem. We propose a metamodel approach. The analytical metamodel combines information from the simulator with information from an analytical differentiable and tractable network model that relates the calibration parameters to the simulation-based objective function. The proposed algorithm is validated by considering synthetic experiments on a toy network. It is then used to address a calibration problem with real data for a large-scale network: the Berlin metropolitan network with over 24300 links and 11300 nodes. The performance of the proposed approach is compared to a traditional benchmark method. The proposed approach significantly improves the computational efficiency of the calibration algorithm with an average reduction in simulation runtime until convergence of more than 80%. The results illustrate the scalability of the approach and its suitability for the calibration of large-scale computationally inefficient network simulators.
Efficient calibration techniques for large-scale traffic simulators
Transportation Research Part B: Methodological ; 97 ; 214-239
2016-12-03
26 pages
Article (Journal)
Electronic Resource
English
Efficient calibration techniques for large-scale traffic simulators
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