Highlights Exposure to Weather-Accident Severity is the product of accident and weather severities. Poor light and road surface in bad weather increase the weather-accident severity. Female, aged and inexperienced drivers are more vulnerable. CGCM3 (A2 & A1B) and HadCM3 (A2 & B2) models to simulate climate change in 21st century. Rainy days will increase and snowy and freezing days will decrease or remain same.

    Abstract The objective of this research is to study the impact of climate change on the hazardous weather-related road accidents in the New Brunswick, Canada. We develop an Exposure to Weather-Accident Severity (EWAS) index multiplying accident and weather severity. The Negative Binomial Regression and Poisson regression models are applied to estimate the spatial–temporal relationship between the EWAS index and weather-related explanatory variables of road accidents. The regression results show that the surface-weather condition, weather, driver’s gender, weather-driver’s age, weather-driver’s experience, and weather-vehicle’s age have strong positive correlation with the EWAS index, while the surface-road alignment and surface-road characteristics have negative relationship with the EWAS index. The climate change model also indicates that the number of accidents declines during snowy and freezing days—most people stay at home and those who travel extra cautious—accidents do occur. The study suggests that the Road Safety Strategy 2015 of the Transport Canada should take a holistic approach to help minimize the incidences of severe road accident during the normal as well as hazardous weather conditions.


    Access

    Check access

    Check availability in my library

    Order at Subito €


    Export, share and cite



    Title :

    Climate change modeling and the weather-related road accidents in Canada




    Publication date :

    2014-01-01


    Size :

    13 pages




    Type of media :

    Article (Journal)


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English






    Weather-Related Aircraft Accidents, New Sensors and Pilot's Weather Understanding

    Sand, W. R. / Biter, C. J. / AIAA | British Library Conference Proceedings | 1997



    An analysis of three weather-related aircraft accidents

    Fujita, T. T. / Caracena, F. | NTRS | 1977