Approach is based on recent developments in statistics, reliability, cost-effectiveness analysis, and decision theory; cost-effectiveness model shows that optimum design is achieved when tradeoffs of weight, reliability, cost, etc, of each structural component match system tradeoffs; model is enlarged to that of statistical decision theory; Bayesian statistical analysis overcomes serious problems with confidence-in-reliability formulas; decision theory defines best design compromise; three examples relate to optimizing weight and risk of penetration of meteoroid shield, predicting reliability of missile part subject to fatigue, and launch vehicle shell subject to buckling.


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    Title :

    Predicting structural reliability for design decisions


    Additional title:

    J Spacecraft Rockets


    Contributors:
    Blake, R.E. (author)

    Published in:

    Publication date :

    1967


    Size :

    7 pages


    Type of media :

    Article (Journal)


    Type of material :

    Print


    Language :

    English


    Keywords :





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