This paper analyzes the effect of new bicycle lanes on traffic volume, congestion, and accidents. Crucially, the new bike lanes replace existing car lanes thereby reducing available space for motorized traffic. In order to obtain causal estimates, I exploit the quasi-random timing and location of the newly built cycle lanes. Using an event study design, a two-way fixed effects model and the synthetic control group method on geo-coded data, I show that the construction of pop-up bike lanes significantly reduced average car speed by 8 to 12 percentage points (p.p.) and up to 16 p.p. in peak traffic hours. In contrast, the results for car volume are modest, while the data does not allow for a conclusive judgment of accidents.


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    Title :

    The Causal Effect of Cycling Infrastructure on Traffic and Accidents


    Subtitle :

    Evidence from Pop-up Bike Lanes in Berlin


    Contributors:

    Publication date :

    2022


    Size :

    2133 KB , 56 pages


    Remarks:

    CEPA Discussion Papers; 48




    Type of media :

    Miscellaneous


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English


    Keywords :


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