This paper points out the problems in existing voyage estimate on a tramp operation. By lots of statistics and investigation works, it analyzes the probability of winds within a certain sailing area as well as its influence over a vessel's voyage. The probability distribution of a vessel encountering winds k times in a voyage are testified and the expected per day net revenue value of a voyage is calculated. Then, the paper further puts forward the decision-making problems in a vessel's voyage and analyzes its main influencing factors. Thus, the hierarchy structure and its judgement matrix are established and lead to the adoption of the AHP method on a vessel's voyage. The results of real examples prove to be reliable and realistic.


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    Title :

    Voyage Estimate and Decision-Making on the Tramp Operation


    Contributors:

    Conference:

    Second International Conference on Transportation and Traffic Studies (ICTTS ) ; 2000 ; Beijing, China



    Publication date :

    2000-07-12




    Type of media :

    Conference paper


    Type of material :

    Electronic Resource


    Language :

    English




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